Pastry and confectionery maker
AI displacement risk
13%
Range 9.48–16.82%
Pastry and confectionery maker has 18% AI task overlap and 9% human bottleneck protection — lower risk than 53% of occupations in the live market. Current AI capabilities have limited overlap with core tasks.
Craftsmen & Related Trades Workers·SGD 2,413/mo (1,500–3,236)·~1.3K workers in SG·Updated 2026-06-11
Structural pressure, not a prediction of job loss. Displacement tends to arrive through slower hiring, wage compression and role redesign before layoffs.
Why This Score
18% of tasks overlap with current AI
9% human advantage from judgment & presence
31% demand buffer from the local labour market
AI usage 9pp below theoretical exposure
These factors interact with each other — the final score is not a simple sum of these bars.
How much AI overlaps with this job's tasks, offset by human advantages and local demand. Score stability: watch. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
With 18% AI task overlap (based on Felten AIOE, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou GPT exposure, and ILO occupational exposure), the Pastry and confectionery maker tasks most exposed include: predictive maintenance scheduling, safety checklist automation, inventory management, and remote monitoring via sensors.
- • Verify dimensions, alignments, and clearances of finished parts for conformance to specifications, using measuring instruments such as calipers, gauge blocks, micrometers, or dial indicators.
- • Set up and operate conventional or computer numerically controlled machine tools such as lathes, milling machines, or grinders to cut, bore, grind, or otherwise shape parts to prescribed dimensions and finishes.
- • Visualize and compute dimensions, sizes, shapes, and tolerances of assemblies, based on specifications.
O*NET tasks for this occupation with the most observed AI usage (Anthropic task data).
What AI can't do here
At 9% human bottleneck protection, the tasks that remain hardest to automate for Pastry and confectionery maker include: physical dexterity on job sites, real-time environmental adaptation, operating heavy equipment safely, and handling unexpected on-site conditions.
Main insulation channels: Non-routine work + High-stakes decisions — the work-context dimensions behind this occupation's human bottleneck.
Skills to focus on
Sources: Felten AIOE (2021), Anthropic Economic Index (2026), Eloundou GPT Exposure (Science, 2024), ILO GenAI (2025), Pizzinelli et al. bottleneck model. Full methodology.
Singapore Now
Current labour market conditions and how they affect this role.
Still healthy locally. Hiring remains positive and retrenchment stays low, even if demand is not accelerating.
Vacancy
2.8%
↑ 16.7% YoY
Hiring
2.4%
vs 1.5% resign
Retrenchment
1.5
per 1,000 · low
Re-entry
78.1%
find work in 12mo· -4.5pp
Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers · 2025 Q4
Top Industries
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab, which can lag the main labour monitor.
What You Can Do
Pastry and confectionery maker has some offset potential, but it depends on transition pathways holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.
Published transition support
Related roles you could transition to
Similarity-basedCompare within Craftsmen & Related Trades Workers
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Classification
Higher risk than 47% of occupations · V7 structural score
Raw scores
AIOE -0.385 · θ 0.600 · C-AIOE -0.341
Stability
watch · Optimistic 7% · Pessimistic 21%
Score range (best/worst case)
Exposure 13–22% · Net risk 9.48–16.82%
Scoring basis
V7 structural score. Uses task-concentration-weighted exposure, human bottleneck, and demand resilience. V6 baseline fields are retained for release-to-release comparison.-0.8pp versus retained V6 baseline.
Wage range (SGD/mo)
25th 1,500 · Median 2,413 · 75th 3,236
Evidence & sources
Data matching
direct · SSOC 75122
Real-world AI usage: -9% vs estimated
Data quality
86% · Matching 1.00 · Market data 0.70 · Freshness 0.84
100% weighted task match · 0% effective coverage
AI overlap by data source
Weights: aioe 24% · anthropic 26% · eloundou 25% · ilo 26%
Tools & offset factors
What helps
- Nearby moves and published transition support look reasonably strong.
Worker profile & local context
- Vacancy rate is 2.8% and rose by 0.8 points from last quarter.
- Hiring read: recruitment is running above resignation (2.4% vs 1.5%).
- Retrenchment was low at 1.5 per 1,000 employees.
- 78.1% of retrenched workers re-entered employment within 12 months.
- Employer pressure is low, based on 1 recent Singapore-relevant company signals.
Worker profile
Gender mix
53% male / 48% femalePublished Singapore worker composition for the detailed occupation family 75 Food Processing, Woodworking, Garment, Leather & Other Craft & Related Trades Workers.
Employment structure
Employee-heavy85% employees, 15% employers or self-employed workers.
Work arrangement
Mostly full-time13% part-time and 87% full-time in 2025.
Age profile
Older-skewing7% aged 15 to 29, 25% aged 30 to 49, and 67% aged 50 or older.
Qualification mix
Non-degree heavyBelow secondary 38%; Secondary 27%.
Gross wage by sex
Female median 12% higherPublished June 2024 gross wage medians: male $2,253, female $2,523.
Where this work is concentrated
Top planning areas
Woodlands, Jurong West, Yishun25% of workers in this occupation group live in these three planning areas.
Residential concentration
More concentrated39% live across the top five planning areas in the 2020 Census.
Commute pattern
Mid-range commutesEstimated average commute 35.1 minutes. 28% take 46 minutes or more.
Role profile
How this role's work breaks down across key dimensions. This is a general profile, not an individual measurement.
Workflow dimensions (0 = low, 1 = high)
How this changes by career stage
Senior workers benefit from institutional knowledge and judgment that AI cannot replicate. Entry-level roles have higher task overlap with AI.
Frequently asked questions
Will AI replace Pastry and confectionery maker?
Pastry and confectionery maker has 18% AI task overlap and 9% human bottleneck protection — lower risk than 53% of occupations in the live market. Current AI capabilities have limited overlap with core tasks. Net displacement risk: 13% (Low). Median wage: SGD 2,413/month.
What is the AI risk score for Pastry and confectionery maker?
Pastry and confectionery maker has an AI displacement risk of 13%, rated Low. AI task overlap: 18%. Human advantage: 9%. Local demand buffer: 31%.
What career transitions are available for Pastry and confectionery maker?
Pastry and confectionery maker has modeled transition pathways to related occupations. The strongest adjacent pathway is Baker, based on skill and wage similarity (model-estimated). Transition scoring accounts for wage preservation, training ease, and destination quality.
How does Pastry and confectionery maker salary compare in the live market?
Pastry and confectionery maker earns a median gross wage of SGD 2,413/month in the live market (25th-75th percentile: SGD 1,500-3,236). This is 46% below median across all 562 scored occupations, and 26% below group median within Craftsmen & Related Trades Workers occupations.