Structural pressure
2%
Very Low RiskLikely range
0–3%
Plumber
Craftsmen & Related Trades Workers · SGD 2,400/mo (47% below median)
This model suggests AI is unlikely to significantly disrupt Plumber. low exposure with limited overlap across core tasks.
Why This Score
13% of tasks overlap with current AI
86% human advantage from judgment & presence
25% demand buffer from SG labour market
AI usage 22pp above theoretical exposure
These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.
Exposure × (1 − Bottleneck) × Market Modifier. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
Predictive maintenance scheduling, safety checklist automation, inventory management, and remote monitoring via sensors.
Where humans stay essential
Physical dexterity on job sites, real-time environmental adaptation, operating heavy equipment safely, and handling unexpected on-site conditions.
Skills to focus on
Common tools in similar work
Derived from matched O*NET technology-skill profiles.
Singapore Reality
Current Singapore signal
Labour now, industry footprint, and a directional 12-month read.
The Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers labour market is strong. Vacancy rate is 2.8% and rose by 0.8 points from last quarter. recruitment is running above resignation (2.4% vs 1.5%). employer pressure is low.
Vacancy rate
2.8%
↑ 16.7% year-on-year
Hiring balance
2.4%
recruit vs 1.5% resign
Retrenchment
1.5 per 1,000
Low incidence
Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers data · Q4 2025 full
Top Industries
Where this work is concentrated
Wholesale & Retail Trade
9.0K
↓ cooling
Top 5 vacancy sector
Other Community, Social & Personal Services
3.6K
Administrative & Support Services
2.8K
↓ cooling
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab (2025 QQ), which can lag the main labour monitor.
12-Month Outlook
Rule-based, not a prediction
What To Do Next
Plumber has some offset potential, but it depends on transition pathways holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.
What helps
- Nearby moves and published transition support look reasonably strong.
- A meaningful share of the work can likely be reorganized around AI rather than removed outright.
Easier Switch
Air-conditioning/Refrigeration equipment mechanic 61%Supervisor/General foreman (building and related trades) 59%Carpenter 58%Air-conditioning/Refrigeration equipment mechanic
moderate transition · 61% match
Supervisor/General foreman (building and related trades)
moderate transition · 59% match
Carpenter
moderate transition · 58% match
Building maintenance worker
moderate transition · 57% match
Joiner
moderate transition · 57% match
Stationary plant and machine supervisor/general foreman
moderate transition · 55% match
Metal heat treating plant operator
moderate transition · 55% match
Laboratory attendant
moderate transition · 55% match
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Evidence
Crosswalk: direct · SSOC 71261
Anthropic: +22pp vs theory
Raw Scores
AIOE -1.173 · θ 0.734 · C-AIOE -0.837
Stability
stable · Optimistic 0% (Very Low) · Pessimistic 3% (Very Low)
Confidence
82% · Crosswalk 0.87 · Market 0.65 · Fresh 0.84
Wage (SGD/mo)
25th 1,600 · Median 2,400 · 75th 2,880