Structural pressure
1%
Very Low RiskLikely range
0–3%
Joiner
Craftsmen & Related Trades Workers · SGD 2,411/mo (46% below median)
This model suggests AI is unlikely to significantly disrupt Joiner. low exposure with limited overlap across core tasks.
Why This Score
9% of tasks overlap with current AI
84% human advantage from judgment & presence
31% demand buffer from SG labour market
AI usage 9pp above theoretical exposure
These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.
Exposure × (1 − Bottleneck) × Market Modifier. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
Predictive maintenance scheduling, safety checklist automation, inventory management, and remote monitoring via sensors.
Where humans stay essential
Physical dexterity on job sites, real-time environmental adaptation, operating heavy equipment safely, and handling unexpected on-site conditions.
Skills to focus on
Singapore Reality
Current Singapore signal
Labour now, industry footprint, and a directional 12-month read.
The Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers labour market is strong. Vacancy rate is 2.8% and rose by 0.8 points from last quarter. recruitment is running above resignation (2.4% vs 1.5%). employer pressure is low.
Vacancy rate
2.8%
↑ 16.7% year-on-year
Hiring balance
2.4%
recruit vs 1.5% resign
Retrenchment
1.5 per 1,000
Low incidence
Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers data · Q4 2025 full
Top Industries
Where this work is concentrated
Wholesale & Retail Trade
9.0K
↓ cooling
Top 5 vacancy sector
Other Community, Social & Personal Services
3.6K
Administrative & Support Services
2.8K
↓ cooling
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab (2025 QQ), which can lag the main labour monitor.
12-Month Outlook
Rule-based, not a prediction
What To Do Next
Joiner has some offset potential, but it depends on transition pathways holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.
What helps
- Nearby moves and published transition support look reasonably strong.
Easier Switch
Carpenter 67%Supervisor/General foreman (building and related trades) 59%Building maintenance worker 57%Lower Risk
Carpenter 67%Carpenter
moderate transition · 67% match
Supervisor/General foreman (building and related trades)
moderate transition · 59% match
Building maintenance worker
moderate transition · 57% match
Air-conditioning/Refrigeration equipment mechanic
moderate transition · 57% match
Plumber
moderate transition · 56% match
Stationary plant and machine supervisor/general foreman
moderate transition · 55% match
Metal heat treating plant operator
moderate transition · 55% match
Laboratory attendant
moderate transition · 55% match
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Evidence
Crosswalk: direct · SSOC 71152
Anthropic: +9pp vs theory
Raw Scores
AIOE -1.324 · θ 0.730 · C-AIOE -0.950
Stability
stable · Optimistic 0% (Very Low) · Pessimistic 3% (Very Low)
Confidence
90% · Crosswalk 1.00 · Market 0.65 · Fresh 0.84
Wage (SGD/mo)
25th 1,600 · Median 2,411 · 75th 3,615