Marine draughtsman
AI displacement risk
12%
Range 9.22–14.62%
Marine draughtsman has 38% AI task overlap and 62% human bottleneck protection — lower risk than 55% of occupations in the live market. Current AI capabilities have limited overlap with core tasks.
Associate Professionals & Technicians·SGD 4,400/mo (3,760–5,600)·~2.2K workers in SG·Updated 2026-06-11
Structural pressure, not a prediction of job loss. Displacement tends to arrive through slower hiring, wage compression and role redesign before layoffs.
Why This Score
38% of tasks overlap with current AI
62% human advantage from judgment & presence
30% demand buffer from the local labour market
These factors interact with each other — the final score is not a simple sum of these bars.
How much AI overlaps with this job's tasks, offset by human advantages and local demand. Score stability: watch. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
With 38% AI task overlap (based on Felten AIOE and ILO occupational exposure), the Marine draughtsman tasks most exposed include: technical documentation, standard testing procedures, data logging, routine diagnostics, and equipment monitoring.
- • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.
- • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.
- • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.
O*NET tasks for this occupation with the most observed AI usage (Anthropic task data).
What AI can't do here
At 62% human bottleneck protection, the tasks that remain hardest to automate for Marine draughtsman include: hands-on troubleshooting, interpreting non-standard test results, calibrating instruments, and bridging communication between engineers and operators.
Skills to focus on
Sources: Felten AIOE (2021), ILO GenAI (2025), Pizzinelli et al. bottleneck model. Full methodology.
Singapore Now
Current labour market conditions and how they affect this role.
Cooling, but not collapsing. Vacancies and re-entry are softer, yet retrenchment remains low and hiring still exceeds resignations.
Vacancy
3.1%
↓ 3.1% YoY
Hiring
1.5%
vs 0.9% resign
Retrenchment
1.5
per 1,000 · low
Re-entry
67.7%
find work in 12mo· -5.3pp
Professionals, Managers, Executives & Technicians · 2025 Q4
Top Industries
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab, which can lag the main labour monitor.
What You Can Do
Marine draughtsman has some offset potential, but it depends on task redesign holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.
Published transition support
Related roles you could transition to
Similarity-basedCompare within Associate Professionals & Technicians
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Classification
Higher risk than 45% of occupations · V7 structural score
Raw scores
AIOE -0.097 · θ 0.691 · C-AIOE -0.077
Stability
watch · Optimistic 10% · Pessimistic 15%
Score range (best/worst case)
Exposure 31–43% · Net risk 9.22–14.62%
Scoring basis
V7 structural score. Uses task-concentration-weighted exposure, human bottleneck, and demand resilience. V6 baseline fields are retained for release-to-release comparison.-0.4pp versus retained V6 baseline.
Wage range (SGD/mo)
25th 3,760 · Median 4,400 · 75th 5,600
Evidence & sources
Data matching
submajor_fallback · SSOC 31185
Data quality
67% · Matching 0.60 · Market data 0.70 · Freshness 0.75
100% weighted task match · 0% effective coverage
AI overlap by data source
Weights: aioe 47% · ilo 53%
Tools & offset factors
What could slow it down
- Current demand support is thin, so offsets may take longer to show up.
Worker profile & local context
- Vacancy rate is 3.1% and was essentially flat versus last quarter.
- Hiring read: recruitment is running above resignation (1.5% vs 0.9%).
- Retrenchment was low at 1.5 per 1,000 employees.
- 67.7% of retrenched workers re-entered employment within 12 months.
- Employer pressure is low, based on 2 recent Singapore-relevant company signals.
Worker profile
Gender mix
78% male / 22% femalePublished Singapore worker composition for the detailed occupation family 31 Physical & Engineering Science Associate Professionals.
Employment structure
Employee-heavy87% employees, 13% employers or self-employed workers.
Work arrangement
Mostly full-time9% part-time and 91% full-time in 2025.
Age profile
Mid-career heavy17% aged 15 to 29, 52% aged 30 to 49, and 31% aged 50 or older.
Qualification mix
Diploma-heavyDegree 37%; Diploma / professional qualification 35%.
Gross wage by sex
Near parityPublished June 2024 gross wage medians: male $4,300, female $4,400.
Where this work is concentrated
Top planning areas
Jurong West, Woodlands, Tampines22% of workers in this occupation group live in these three planning areas.
Residential concentration
Moderately clustered35% live across the top five planning areas in the 2020 Census.
Commute pattern
Longer commutesEstimated average commute 38.7 minutes. 36% take 46 minutes or more.
Role profile
How this role's work breaks down across key dimensions. This is a general profile, not an individual measurement.
Workflow dimensions (0 = low, 1 = high)
How this changes by career stage
Senior workers benefit from institutional knowledge and judgment that AI cannot replicate. Entry-level roles have higher task overlap with AI.
Frequently asked questions
Will AI replace Marine draughtsman?
Marine draughtsman has 38% AI task overlap and 62% human bottleneck protection — lower risk than 55% of occupations in the live market. Current AI capabilities have limited overlap with core tasks. Net displacement risk: 12% (Low). Median wage: SGD 4,400/month.
What is the AI risk score for Marine draughtsman?
Marine draughtsman has an AI displacement risk of 12%, rated Low. AI task overlap: 38%. Human advantage: 62%. Local demand buffer: 30%.
What career transitions are available for Marine draughtsman?
Marine draughtsman has modeled transition pathways to related occupations. The strongest adjacent pathway is Mechanical draughtsman, based on skill and wage similarity (model-estimated). Transition scoring accounts for wage preservation, training ease, and destination quality.
How does Marine draughtsman salary compare in the live market?
Marine draughtsman earns a median gross wage of SGD 4,400/month in the live market (25th-75th percentile: SGD 3,760-5,600). This is near median across all 562 scored occupations, and 6% above group median within Associate Professionals & Technicians occupations.