Headline risk
16%
Moderate RiskBusiness Development Manager
This page reuses the same role shell as Singapore, but the component occupations are mapped onto the United States layer so the score, context, and support bundle reflect US public evidence.
Why this score
77% of tasks overlap with current AI
74% human advantage from judgment & presence
39% demand buffer from the local labour market
These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.
Weighted overlap across component occupations
Human coordination and physical presence protection
Blended local-market buffer for this role
Component coverage and mapping quality
Workflow profile
Heuristic workflow context blended from the role mix. This explains the score; it is not used as a direct local-market forecast.
Workflow dimensions (0 = low, 1 = high)
United States support
Evidence bundle
Weighted task overlap from O*NET statements and Anthropic penetration
Median annual wage from BLS OEWS
Employment projections and openings from BLS
Preparation and entry requirements from O*NET and BLS
Support snapshot
Job zone
4The occupation usually needs substantial preparation and experience.
Median wage
USD 126,960USD 85,990 to USD 178,570
Openings
2.1K-2.2% projected change
Median age
38.261K employed
Occupation profile
Plan, direct, or coordinate advertising policies and programs or produce collateral materials, such as posters, contests, coupons, or giveaways, to create extra interest in the purchase of a product or service for a department, an entire organization, or on an account basis.
Job Zone 4 · Moderate preparation
The occupation usually needs substantial preparation and experience.
Task primitives
Matched task weight share: 100% · Effective coverage: 20%
Concentration: 26%
Wage context
Median annual
USD 126,960
Mean annual
USD 149,270
Hourly median: USD 61
Employment: 21,100 workers
10th percentile: USD 63,000
90th percentile: —
Demand outlook
2024 employment
27.0K
2034 employment
26.4K
Openings: 2.1K
Projected change: -2.2%
Education: Bachelor's degree
Work experience: —
On-the-job training: None
Median wage in projections: USD 126,960
Overall employment of advertising, promotions, and marketing managers is projected to grow 6 percent from 2024 to 2034, faster than the average for all occupations.
Requirements and friction
Telework: 26.5% · Telework: 73.5% · Credentials: 7.4%
Narrative and skills
Advertising, promotions, and marketing managers plan programs to generate interest in products or services.
Advertising, promotions, and marketing managers typically work in an office setting. They may travel to meet with clients or media representatives. Most of these managers work full time, and some work more than 40 hours per week.
Advertising, promotions, and marketing managers typically need a bachelor’s degree. They also typically need work experience in a related occupation.
The median annual wage for advertising and promotions managers was $126,960 in May 2024.
Overall employment of advertising, promotions, and marketing managers is projected to grow 6 percent from 2024 to 2034, faster than the average for all occupations.
Jobs: 434,000
Median pay: USD 159,660
Employment outlook: Overall employment of advertising, promotions, and marketing managers is projected to grow 6 percent from 2024 to 2034, faster than the average for all occupations.
Openings: 26,100
Tasks and tools
- 1. Plan and prepare advertising and promotional material to increase sales of products or services, working with customers, company officials, sales departments, and advertising agencies. · AI use 79%
- 2. Confer with department heads or staff to discuss topics such as contracts, selection of advertising media, or product to be advertised. · AI use 0%
- 3. Inspect layouts and advertising copy, and edit scripts, audio, video, and other promotional material for adherence to specifications. · AI use 0%
- 4. Direct, motivate, and monitor the mobilization of a campaign team to advance campaign goals. · AI use 0%
- 5. Coordinate with the media to disseminate advertising. · AI use 0%
- 6. Coordinate activities of departments, such as sales, graphic arts, media, finance, and research. · AI use 0%
Work context
- E-Mail: 5.0/5
- Face-to-Face Discussions with Individuals and Within Teams: 4.9/5
- Telephone Conversations: 4.8/5
- Contact With Others: 4.7/5
- Indoors, Environmentally Controlled: 4.6/5
- Work With or Contribute to a Work Group or Team: 4.5/5
Tech density
6/6
6 hot · 6 in demand
Work pace
4.7/5
Average of the strongest work-context signals.
Worker profile
Median age: 38.2
Total employed: 61K · Under 25: 5% · 25 to 54: 84% · 55+: 13%
Support note
Built from O*NET occupation descriptions, task statements, technology skills, work context, Job Zones, Anthropic task penetration, BLS OEWS wages, BLS projection tables, BLS ORS requirements, BLS OOH narrative content, BLS skills data, and BLS CPS occupation age tables.
Source vintage
O*NET 30.2 / OEWS 2024 / ORS 2025 / OOH 2025-08-28 / Projections 2024-34 / CPS 2025 / Anthropic task penetration
Component occupations
Advertising and promotions managers
11-2011 · 50% weight
Business development manager
Support bundle: Moderate preparation
Advertising and promotions managers
11-2011 · 30% weight
Sales manager
Support bundle: Moderate preparation
Management analysts
13-1111 · 20% weight
Management consultant
Support bundle: Moderate preparation
Methodology
Shared spine
structural_pressure = exposure × (1 - bottleneck)
Country layer
headline_risk = structural_pressure × (1 - country_demand_resilience)
Published limitations
This is a synthetic role view built from mapped occupations. It reuses the same shell and visual components as the Singapore role pages, but only the US sources that actually exist are rendered here.