Headline risk
17%
Moderate RiskSubstitute teachers, short-term
AI displacement pressure score for United States AI Work Index, combining global AI task overlap with local wages, employment trends, and demand signals.
Why This Score
Share of job tasks that overlap with current AI capabilities
Median annual wage
Projected employment change over 10 years
Typical preparation needed for this occupation
Occupation profile
Teach students on a short-term basis as a temporary replacement for a regular classroom teacher, typically using the regular teacher's lesson plan.
Task evidence
97% weighted task match · 5% effective coverage
Scores combine AI task overlap, human advantages, and local demand. How it works
United States Now
Median Wage
USD 38,470
Employment 2024
510.1K
Projected Change (2024–34)
1.6%
Openings (2024–34)
61.1K
Wage distribution
Demand outlook
Projections published, but no prose outlook available.
Role Profile
Tasks
- 1. Answer students' questions. AI use: 0%
- 2. Enforce school and class rules to maintain order in the classroom. AI use: 0%
- 3. Take class attendance and maintain attendance records. AI use: 0%
- 4. Follow lesson plans designed by absent teachers. AI use: 0%
- 5. Distribute or collect tests or homework assignments. AI use: 0%
- 6. Distribute teaching materials, such as textbooks, workbooks, papers, and pencils, to students. AI use: 0%
Technologies
Requirements
Work context
Worker profile
Median age 49.2 · 1.1M employed
Under 25: 3% · 25–54: 60% · 55+: 36%
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Source coverage
11/11 source families · O*NET 30.2 / OEWS 2024 / ORS 2025 / OOH 2025-08-28 / Projections 2024-34 / CPS 2025 / Anthropic task penetration
Data quality
Employment data available
Narrative & sources
Important context
This score measures structural AI displacement pressure, not actual job losses. Local wages and demand data are specific to United States AI Work Index; the underlying AI task overlap analysis is consistent across all countries.