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AI Work Index

Headline risk

17%

Moderate Risk

Substitute teachers, short-term

United States AI Work Index25-3031

AI displacement pressure score for United States AI Work Index, combining global AI task overlap with local wages, employment trends, and demand signals.

510.1 current · 518.5 projectedConfidence high

Why This Score

Tasks 97%

Share of job tasks that overlap with current AI capabilities

Wage $38K

Median annual wage

Demand 2%

Projected employment change over 10 years

Preparation Zone 4

Typical preparation needed for this occupation

Occupation profile

Teach students on a short-term basis as a temporary replacement for a regular classroom teacher, typically using the regular teacher's lesson plan.

Task evidence

97% weighted task match · 5% effective coverage

Scores combine AI task overlap, human advantages, and local demand. How it works

United States Now

Median Wage

USD 38,470

Employment 2024

510.1K

Projected Change (2024–34)

1.6%

Openings (2024–34)

61.1K

Wage distribution

Bottom 10%: USD 26,24025th pctl: USD 31,310Median: USD 38,47075th pctl: USD 51,930Top 10%: USD 63,460

Demand outlook

Projections published, but no prose outlook available.

Education: Bachelor's degree Experience: —

Role Profile

InterpersonalAdaptabilityWriting and reading

Tasks

  • 1. Answer students' questions. AI use: 0%
  • 2. Enforce school and class rules to maintain order in the classroom. AI use: 0%
  • 3. Take class attendance and maintain attendance records. AI use: 0%
  • 4. Follow lesson plans designed by absent teachers. AI use: 0%
  • 5. Distribute or collect tests or homework assignments. AI use: 0%
  • 6. Distribute teaching materials, such as textbooks, workbooks, papers, and pencils, to students. AI use: 0%

Technologies

Microsoft ExcelMicrosoft Office softwareMicrosoft OutlookCommon CurriculumEasyCBMEdmodo

Requirements

Can telework: <10%License required: 52.3%Certificate: <10%High school diploma: 45.2%Bachelor's degree: 43.6%Associate's degree: 11.2%On-the-job training: 51.8%Specific vocational preparation: 23.5%

Work context

Contact With Others 4.6/5
Coordinate or Lead Others in Accomplishing Work Activities 4.3/5
Freedom to Make Decisions 4.3/5
Work With or Contribute to a Work Group or Team 4.2/5
Face-to-Face Discussions with Individuals and Within Teams 4.1/5
E-Mail 3.8/5

Worker profile

Median age 49.2 · 1.1M employed

Under 25: 3% · 25–54: 60% · 55+: 36%

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