What is the AI risk score for Deckhand (including lighterman)?

Deckhand (including lighterman) has an AI displacement risk of 1%, rated Very Low. AI task overlap: 9%. Human advantage: 90%. Singapore demand buffer: 38%.

Structural pressure

Very Low Risk

Likely range

0–2%

Deckhand (including lighterman)

Plant & Machine Operators & Assemblers · SGD 1,740/mo (61% below median)

This model suggests AI is unlikely to significantly disrupt Deckhand (including lighterman). low exposure with limited overlap across core tasks.

Compare

Stable High Confidence

GCE O-Level / Secondary Higher risk than 3% of occupations

Pressure 1%

Market 38%

Confidence 71%

Human Moat High

Evidence

4/4 sources Sources agree: low

Why This Score

AI Capability Overlap Increases risk

9% of tasks overlap with current AI

Human Coordination Reduces risk

90% human advantage from judgment & presence

Local Hiring Demand Reduces risk

38% demand buffer from SG labour market

Observed AI Adoption Increases risk

AI usage 1pp above theoretical exposure

These factors combine multiplicatively — larger bars do not mean proportionally larger contributions to the final score.

Net Displacement Risk 1%

Exposure × (1 − Bottleneck) × Market Modifier. How this works

Tasks AI can handle

Predictive maintenance scheduling, safety checklist automation, inventory management, and remote monitoring via sensors.

Where humans stay essential

Physical dexterity on job sites, real-time environmental adaptation, operating heavy equipment safely, and handling unexpected on-site conditions.

Skills to focus on

Hands-On ExpertiseOn-Site Problem SolvingSafety ProtocolsEquipment Proficiency

Singapore Reality

Current Singapore signal

Labour now, industry footprint, and a directional 12-month read.

Strong market

The Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers labour market is strong. Vacancy rate is 2.8% and rose by 0.8 points from last quarter. recruitment is running above resignation (2.4% vs 1.5%). employer pressure is low.

Vacancy rate

2.8%

↑ 16.7% year-on-year

Hiring balance

2.4%

recruit vs 1.5% resign

Retrenchment

1.5 per 1,000

Low incidence

Production & Transport Operators, Cleaners & Labourers data · Q4 2025 full

Top Industries

Where this work is concentrated

Transportation & Storage

84.7K

↑ hiring

66%

Wholesale & Retail Trade

11.5K

↓ cooling

Top 5 vacancy sector

Administrative & Support Services

3.0K

↓ cooling

Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab (2025 QQ), which can lag the main labour monitor.

12-Month Outlook

Rule-based, not a prediction

Stable

Displacement Resilient

Augmentation At Risk

Demand Under Pressure

Wage Pressure Resilient

Methodology

What To Do Next

Offset potential: Medium Separate from the core score. This estimates how much demand, redesign room, and transition support could cushion pressure.

Deckhand (including lighterman) has some offset potential, but it depends on transition pathways holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.

Demand support: Medium Transition support: High Reallocation room: Medium Switching friction: High

What helps