Headline risk
3%
Very Low RiskBus drivers, transit and intercity
United States AI Work Index tracks this occupation on the shared structural baseline and then layers on local demand resilience, wages, and confidence.
Why This Score
Share of job tasks that overlap with current AI capabilities
Median annual wage
Projected employment change over 10 years
Typical preparation needed for this occupation
Occupation profile
Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.
Task evidence
91% weighted task match · 0% effective coverage
Scores combine AI task overlap, human advantages, and local demand. How it works
United States Now
Median Wage
USD 57,440
Employment 2024
158.8K
Projected Change (2024–34)
4.3%
Openings (2024–34)
20.9K
Wage distribution
Demand outlook
Overall employment of bus drivers is projected to show little or no change from 2024 to 2034.
Role Profile
Tasks
- 1. Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride. AI use: 0%
- 2. Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board. AI use: 0%
- 3. Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.
- 4. Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions. AI use: 0%
- 5. Report delays or accidents. AI use: 0%
- 6. Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort. AI use: 0%
Technologies
Requirements
Work context
Worker profile
Median age 53.0 · 268K employed
Under 25: 1% · 25–54: 50% · 55+: 48%
Related
No direct US role match is available yet for this occupation.
Source coverage
11/11 source families · O*NET 30.2 / OEWS 2024 / ORS 2025 / OOH 2025-08-28 / Projections 2024-34 / CPS 2025 / Anthropic task penetration
Mapping quality
major_group_fallback · employment series present
Narrative & sources
Bus drivers transport people between various places.
Part-time work is common for bus drivers. Drivers’ schedules may vary and include early mornings, evenings, or weekends. Many bus drivers work for schools, and they work only when schools are in session. Driving through heavy traffic or bad weather and dealing with unruly passengers can be stressful for bus drivers.
Bus drivers must have a commercial driver's license (CDL), which they sometimes earn during on-the-job training. They also need a good driving record and must meet physical, hearing, and vision requirements. In addition, bus drivers typically need a high school diploma or the equivalent and may be required to pass a background check.
The median annual wage for bus drivers, school was $47,040 in May 2024.
Overall employment of bus drivers is projected to show little or no change from 2024 to 2034.
Published limitations
This page shows the local country layer, not realised individual job outcomes. The global structural baseline is shared across countries; only the local demand and wage layer changes here.
Built from O*NET occupation descriptions, task statements, technology skills, work context, Job Zones, Anthropic task penetration, BLS OEWS wages, BLS projection tables, BLS ORS requirements, BLS OOH narrative content, BLS skills data, and BLS CPS occupation age tables.