Headline risk
6%
Low RiskArbitrators, mediators, and conciliators
United States AI Work Index tracks this occupation on the shared structural baseline and then layers on local demand resilience, wages, and confidence.
Why This Score
Share of job tasks that overlap with current AI capabilities
Median annual wage
Projected employment change over 10 years
Typical preparation needed for this occupation
Occupation profile
Facilitate negotiation and conflict resolution through dialogue. Resolve conflicts outside of the court system by mutual consent of parties involved.
Task evidence
100% weighted task match · 24% effective coverage
Scores combine AI task overlap, human advantages, and local demand. How it works
United States Now
Median Wage
USD 67,710
Employment 2024
9.1K
Projected Change (2024–34)
4.3%
Openings (2024–34)
0.3K
Wage distribution
Demand outlook
Employment of arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators is projected to grow 4 percent from 2024 to 2034, about as fast as the average for all occupations.
Role Profile
Tasks
- 1. Prepare written opinions or decisions regarding cases. AI use: 74%
- 2. Apply relevant laws, regulations, policies, or precedents to reach conclusions. AI use: 86%
- 3. Conduct hearings to obtain information or evidence relative to disposition of claims. AI use: 0%
- 4. Rule on exceptions, motions, or admissibility of evidence. AI use: 0%
- 5. Confer with disputants to clarify issues, identify underlying concerns, and develop an understanding of their respective needs and interests. AI use: 0%
- 6. Use mediation techniques to facilitate communication between disputants, to further parties' understanding of different perspectives, and to guide parties toward mutual agreement. AI use: 78%
Technologies
Requirements
Work context
Worker profile
Median age 45.6 · 195K employed
Under 25: 4% · 25–54: 67% · 55+: 28%
Related
No direct US role match is available yet for this occupation.
Source coverage
11/11 source families · O*NET 30.2 / OEWS 2024 / ORS 2025 / OOH 2025-08-28 / Projections 2024-34 / CPS 2025 / Anthropic task penetration
Mapping quality
major_group_fallback · employment series present
Narrative & sources
Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators facilitate negotiation through dialogue to help resolve conflicts outside of the court system.
Many arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators work in the legal services industry and for state or local governments. Most work full time.
Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators typically need at least a bachelor's degree and related experience to enter the occupation. They learn their skills through a combination of education, training, and work experience.
The median annual wage for arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators was $67,710 in May 2024.
Employment of arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators is projected to grow 4 percent from 2024 to 2034, about as fast as the average for all occupations.
Published limitations
This page shows the local country layer, not realised individual job outcomes. The global structural baseline is shared across countries; only the local demand and wage layer changes here.
Built from O*NET occupation descriptions, task statements, technology skills, work context, Job Zones, Anthropic task penetration, BLS OEWS wages, BLS projection tables, BLS ORS requirements, BLS OOH narrative content, BLS skills data, and BLS CPS occupation age tables.